interesting happenings
Bob 08-10-2007
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Published: August 11, 2007

WASHINGTON, Aug. 10 (AP) — The Federal Reserve, trying to calm turmoil on Wall Street, announced today that it will pump as much money as needed into the financial system to help overcome the ill effects of a spreading credit crunch.

The Fed, in a short statement, said it will provide “reserves as necessary” to help the markets safely make their way. The central bank did not provide details but said it would do all it can to “facilitate the orderly functioning of financial markets.”

The Fed pushed $35 billion in temporary reserves into the system this morning, on top of a similar move the day before.

Financial markets in the United States and around the globe have been shaken by fears about spreading credit problems that started with home mortgages for those with tarnished credit histories. Investors are worried that these problems will infect the larger financial system and possibly hurt the American economy.

The Fed’s action may have eased some investors’ anxieties today, with the Dow Jones industrial average down 99 points in late-morning trading after suffering a much larger drop near the start of the session.

The current financial turmoil provides the biggest test yet to the Fed chairman, Ben S. Bernanke, who took the helm last year.

The Fed’s action comes one day after a financial panic about a credit crunch swept through Europe. That prompted the Europeans to pump $130 billion into their financial system. The Fed moved Thursday to add an extra $24 billion in temporary reserves to the American banking system. But that wasn’t enough to comfort Wall Street, which suffered its second-worst decline of the year that day.

The Fed today chose not to cut a key interest rate, called the federal funds rate, to address the problem. That interest rate still stands at 5.25 percent. The funds rate is interest banks charge each other on overnight loans and is the Fed’s main lever to influence economic activity.

Instead, the Fed is seeking to provide reassurance to investors that the central bank will plow extra money into the U.S. financial system to make sure the credit crunch doesn’t worsen.

The Federal Reserve Bank of New York, which carries out the central bank’s market operation, moved to add $19 billion in temporary reserves this morning. A couple of hours later, it added another $16 billion in reserves.

“In current circumstances, depository institutions may experience unusual funding needs because of dislocations in money and credit markets,” the Federal Reserve in Washington said in its statement.

It told banks that the Fed’s discount window — where banks can turn in an emergency for short-term loans — is available as a source of funding.

After the Sept. 11, 2001, terror attacks, the Fed used the discount window to extend billions of dollars worth of emergency loans to banks to keep the financial system functioning.

The current meltdown in the housing and mortgage markets has caused new home foreclosures to climb to record highs and has forced some lenders out of business. Problems first sprouted in the market for higher-risk or “subprime” mortgages, which are held by people with poor credit or low incomes. But some problems have spilled over to more creditworthy borrowers. That has led to tighter lending standards, making credit harder to get for people and businesses.

The free flow of credit is important to the smooth functioning of the national economy. Increasingly restrictive lending conditions can put a damper on people’s ability to buy big-ticket items such as homes, cars and appliances. And it can crimp businesses’ capital investment and hiring. That reduced appetite by businesses and consumers would slow overall economic activity.

Against this backdrop, Wall Street has careened wildly in recent weeks.

Bernanke and his central bank colleagues, in a meeting on Tuesday, acknowledged that these problems are posing increasing risks to the economy. But they refrained from cutting interest rates and stuck to their forecast that the economy will weather the financial storm and grow gradually in the coming months.

“Financial markets have been volatile in recent weeks, credit conditions have become tighter for some households and businesses and the housing correction is ongoing,” the Fed said on Tuesday, its first acknowledgment of the conditions shaking Wall Street and Main Street. “Downside risks to growth have increased somewhat.”

One day later, President Bush struck a reassuring tone about the turbulence on Wall Street, saying he believes the markets will achieve a “soft landing.” The market ended Wednesday up by 154 points, but then went into its nosedive on Thursday.


Many 08-10-2007
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Yes and I think it was one or two days ago AHM filed for protection. As I remember they join about 50 other lenders is trouble.Makes one wonder if all those creative financing schemes are finally coming to terms with reality.

Bob 08-10-2007
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Sort of like the pump bizz... except we work  without the bailout ;~)

DEFINITION: CREATIVE FINANCING- creates gain for some & loss for others

;~)


79xlch 08-10-2007
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The people that can not make the payment still will loose there home. The people that made the fine print will still make their money, so the only looser is still us small folks. Bush said yesterday he was not in favor of grants for the individuals that did not know what they were sighing up for but would favor bailing out the finical institutes. It is the lenders that ought to loose. They will loan money to anything breathing nowadays.... to hell with credit checks.

Bob 08-10-2007
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I think that you sum it up very well.

The sub prime borrowers were not sold homes, they were sold the concept of ownership and they fell for it.

CAVEAT EMPTOR indeed ;~)

 


Derputzmeister 08-10-2007
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this is way over my head.....lol

Momma 08-11-2007
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May I also add that some (pump) companies will feel this credit crunch also, and they are going to have problems refinancing their debt if they can refinance at all.

Many 08-11-2007
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and now the world banks are joining this club.

dick tracy 08-12-2007
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There is no one buying pumps now in North America.

Values are falling every day...40-60 cents on the dollar you may find a buyer but there is no demand. Banks will look at taking a chance with current ownership vs. chapter 7 liquidation is my thoughts, but who knows. If you bought a machine for 500k last year and you need to sell it good luck getting 300 for it. The big boys are trying to dump equipment and it's going overseas...125k range and when will that market dry up ? Soon…… So the banks at current market conditions are upside down even with the big boys.

The credit markets for pumps are gone...next world of concrete will be a ghost town for pump manufactures.

 


Bob 08-13-2007
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I remember when I purchased my first home. It was in 1969 and the staggering price was $12,900.00. I lost sleep wondering how I was ever going to make the payments. After the shock wore off and I realized that it was a doable deal it became a game to pull out the amortization schedule and mark that months’ payment off. I gained a small percent of equity every month and the idea of home ownership seemed like a winner, which at that time it was.

Fast forward to today. Here is some young couple, having purchased their dream last year, trying to figure out how they are going to make the new adjusted payments on their ARM that had just switched off of the ‘special first year’ lower interest rate payment. Sticker shock – belated. Now not only can they just squeak by after the increase in payment, the amortization schedule on the loan has absolutely no correlation to the steadily decreasing value of the property. They are making payments on value that is not there anymore; it is depreciating like an automobile. What is wrong with this picture? Something is very broken. Why is it that it is better to be single and living in an apartment?  ;~(


Bob 08-13-2007
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dick tracy 08-14-2007
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where do you think Concrete Pumping fits into this....Risk and reward...prices need to go up 20-40% across board...IMHO

 

The end of the credit party

The once-endless stream of cheap credit is starting to dry up; buyouts, corporate deals take a hit.

By Grace Wong, CNNMoney.com staff writer

July 27 2007: 11:35 AM EDT


LONDON (CNNMoney.com) -- Dealmakers, investors and home owners in the United States are facing a grim summer as conditions for borrowers get worse.

Until recently, there has been a seemingly unlimited supply of cheap money to fuel leveraged buyouts and other takeovers. There was also an easy flow of mortgage money available before the housing market turned south and the crisis erupted in subprime mortgages made to borrowers with poor credit.

A trader reacts to Thursday's selloff on Wall Street, where credit concerns sent the Dow industrials tumbling 311 points, the 2nd biggest loss of the year.

But now investors are showing a greater disdain for risky debt - and fears about a looming credit crunch have shaken investor confidence worldwide. The Dow Jones industrial average plunged 311 points Thursday - its second-worst day of the year - and sent global stock markets reeling. The Dow opened lower Friday as well but later stabilized and was little changed in mid-morning.

Besides triggering a global stock selloff, the jitters are casting a shadow on the buyout boom and could slow down everything from private equity deals to corporate restructuring plans.

Housing slump gets longer, and longer ...

The housing market, meanwhile, is still struggling to find a bottom. The subprime meltdown started the worries in credit markets - and the extent of the problems in the subprime mortgage market remains uncertain.

"The ultimate outcome of the decline in mortgage credit quality is not wholly predictable," Moody's Economy.com said in a July 26 report. While there are efforts being made to forestall the surge in foreclosures, "the downside risks outweigh the positives," the report said.

Credit markets have been roiled as investors have begun shying away from risk, demanding better terms on corporate bonds and loans, meaning the old days of cheap, easy money for corporations may be past.

"This is part of a process of removing liquidity and increasing the expected returns required of people to tolerate risk," Charles Diebel, an analyst at Nomura International, said about the turbulence in the market.

Tighter credit is troubling to investors for two reasons. It's likely to slow the buyout boom that's helped prop up stock prices. And it could raise the cost of borrowing for companies, hurting corporate earnings. To date, there have been roughly 20 buyout-related debt deals that have been postponed as credit markets have tightened.

The battle to be 'King of the Street'

Earlier this week, Chrysler delayed a debt sale related to its takeover by Cerberus Capital Management. The sale of $12 billion in loans underwritten by JP Morgan (Charts, Fortune 500), Bear Stearns (Charts, Fortune 500), Goldman Sachs (Charts, Fortune 500), Citigroup (Charts, Fortune 500) and Morgan Stanley (Charts, Fortune 500) was put on hold, according to Reuters Loan Pricing Corp. - although Cerberus said its purchase of Chrysler would still be completed in August.

The wave of credit worries is also upsetting corporate plans in
Europe. British pharmacy giant Alliance Boots, which is being taken over by Kohlberg Kravis Roberts and an Alliance executive, ran into trouble financing its buyout earlier this week.

Britain's Cadbury Schweppes said Friday it's delaying the sale of its beverage unit because of troubles in the debt markets. The company said it pushed back the timetable of the sale "to allow bidders to complete their proposals against a more stable debt financing market."

Now there are concerns the darkening mood in the debt market could hit other big deals in the pipeline. A number of high-profile buyouts still need to be financed, including the $28 billion purchase of wireless phone company Alltel (Charts, Fortune 500) and the $44 billion takeover of Texas utility TXU Corp (Charts, Fortune 500).

"Clearly, deals will get done. But capacity again has become an issue. Syndicating a $5 billion loan once again seems daunting, arrangers say, to speak nothing of a $10-15 billion credit," Standard & Poor's Leveraged Commentary & Data said in a note Thursday.

If financing for buyout firms dries up, overall deal activity would be hit hard. Private equity firms have announced about $782 billion in deals this year, or about a quarter of worldwide deal activity, according to Thomson Financial.

The weak conditions also come when buyout firms may start crowding the exit doors, which would make it more difficult for other deals coming along.

Given the length of the current merger wave, which started in 2003, the M&A market is already ripe for a drop off, according to Scott Moeller, a visiting professor of finance at Cass Business School.

"At some point, this market will go down, and because of the way liquidity has driven this merger wave, when we have the fall - it's going to be steeper, and the drop is likely going to be faster than in the past," he said.

Private equity firms typically hold their investments for three to five years. The question now is will they be forced to start unloading the firms scooped up in the recent buying spree sooner than they had wanted.

It remains to be seen what will trigger the selling wave among private equity firms, but when liquidity starts to dry up, "everyone is going to rush to the exits," Moeller said. 

 


Bob 08-15-2007
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Foreclosure rates for top 100 metro areas.
Rate Rank MSA Foreclosure Filings 1 filing for every #HH %Δ from First Half 2006
1 STOCKTON, CA 8,169 27 256
2 DETROIT/LIVONIA/DEARBORN, MI 28,705 29 99
3 LAS VEGAS/PARADISE, NV 22,928 31 142
4 RIVERSIDE/SAN BERNARDINO, CA 41,351 33 198
5 SACRAMENTO, CA 20,516 36 241
6 DENVER/AURORA, CO 23,842 42 11
7 MIAMI, FL 20,275 46 74
8 BAKERSFIELD, CA 5,365 47 222
9 MEMPHIS, TN 10,800 49 17
10 CLEVELAND/LORAIN/ELYRIA/MENTOR, OH 18,844 50 106
11 FORT LAUDERDALE, FL 15,720 50 72
12 ATLANTA/SANDY SPRINGS/MARIETTA, GA 36,502 54 17
13 FORT WORTH/ARLINGTON, TX 13,221 57 -10
14 FRESNO, CA 4,867 60 183
15 INDIANAPOLIS, IN 11,677 62 -6
16 DAYTON, OH 5,966 63 96
17 DALLAS, TX 23,284 65 -15
18 AKRON, OH 4,378 70 85
19 OAKLAND, CA 13,482 70 152
20 COLUMBUS, OH 10,706 70 85
21 JACKSONVILLE, FL 7,513 73 20
22 PHOENIX/MESA, AZ 21,378 74 139
23 SAN DIEGO, CA 14,859 75 164
24 TAMPA/ST PETERSBURGH/CLEARWATER, FL 15,905 79 68
25 WARREN/FARMINGTON HILLS/TROY, MI 13,093 80 92
26 TOLEDO, OH 3,530 84 47
27 VENTURA, CA 3,100 86 183
28 NEWHAVEN/MILFORD, CT 4,017 86 547
29 LOS ANGELES/LONG BEACH, CA 38,199 87 125
30 CHICAGO, IL 34,818 88 45
31 SARASOTA/BRADENTON/VENICE, FL 3,919 94 166
32 EDISON, NJ 9,462 98 58
33 ORLANDO, FL 8,325 98 49
34 CINCINNATI, OH 8,949 100 166
35 WORCESTER, MA 3,097 101 374
36 LAKE/KENOSHA, IL-WI 2,454 101 27
37 CAMDEN, NJ 2,761 101 56
38 CHARLOTTE/GASTONIA, NC 6,498 101 116
39 PALM BEACH, FL 6,063 102 32
40 GARY, IN 2,614 108 49
41 LITTLE ROCK/NORTH LITTLE ROCK, AR 2,617 108 -39
42 KANSAS CITY, MO-KS 7,703 111 117
43 SAN ANTONIO, TX 6,409 112 -1
44 HARTFORD, CT 4,326 112 446
45 ORANGE, CA 9,012 113 153
46 AUSTIN/ROUND ROCK, TX 5,155 115 -21
47 SPRINGFIELD, MA 2,424 116 234
48 BRIDGEPORT/STAMFORD/NORWALK, CT 2,847 122 552
49 TUCSON, AZ 3,323 122 55
50 NEWARK, NJ 6,745 124 20
51 TACOMA, WA 2,427 125 23
52 HOUSTON/BAYTOWN/SUGARLAND, TX 16,057 127 1
53 ESSEX, MA 2,179 135 409
54 OKLAHOMA CITY, OK 3,660 138 -22
55 TULSA, OK 2,712 143 -12
56 SAN JOSE/SUNNYVALE/SANTA CLARA, CA 4,197 148 105
57 SUFFOLK/NASSAU, NY 6,624 150 17
58 ST LOUIS, MO-IL 8,023 151 55
59 BOSTON/QUINCY, MA 4,862 153 342
60 RALEIGH/CARY, NC 2,505 158 105
61 NASHVILLE/DAVIDSON, TN 3,788 161 31
62 LOUISVILLE, KY 3,150 169 7
63 SALT LAKE CITY, UT 2,185 172 -39
64 EL PASO, TX 1,306 187 -2
65 CAMBRIDGE/NEWTON/FRAMINGHAM, MA 3,045 193 313
66 WASHINGTON/ARLINGTON/ALEXANDRIA, DC-VA-MD 8,483 195 430
67 PHILADALPHIA, PA 8,086 198 2
68 ALBUQUERQUE, NM 1,635 208 -38
69 ROCHESTER, NY 2,041 215 208
70 GREENSBORO/HIGHPOINT, NC 1,336 225 75
71 BIRMINGHAM/HOOVER, AL 1,986 227 157
72 OMAHA/COUNCIL BLUFFS, NE-IA 1,480 229 158
73 MILWAUKEE/WAUKESHA/WST ALLIS, WI 2,782 231 22
74 SCRANTON/WILKES/BARRE/HAZLETON, PA 1,076 239 110
75 MINNEAPOLIS/ST PAUL/BLOOMINGTON, MN 5,270 245 201
76 SEATTLE/BELLEVUE/EVERETT, WA 4,302 246 7
77 KNOXVILLE, TN 1,211 246 9
78 SAN FRANCISCO, CA 2,765 263 83
79 NEW ORLEANS, LA 2,178 267 610
80 PITTSBURGH, PA 3,917 281 -22
81 PROVIDENCE/NEW BEDFORD, RI 1,489 301 473
82 NEW YORK/WAYNE/WHITE PLAINS, NY 14,300 305 47
83 BUFFALO/CHEEKTOWAGA/TONAWANDA, NY 1,565 332 76
84 PORTLAND/VANCOUVER/BEAVERTON, OR 2,426 353 7
85 BETHESDA/FREDERICK/GAITHERSBURG, MD 1,196 368 581
86 BALTIMORE/TOWSON, MD 2,816 387 275
87 WICHITA, KS 633 399 0
88 POUGHKEEPSIE/NEWBURGH/MIDDLETOWN, NY 566 428 2
89 ALBANY/SCHENECTADY/TROY, NY 690 544 82
90 CHARLESTON, SC 483 547 -23
91 WILMINGTON, DE 469 588 108
92 SYRACUSE, NY 441 643 3
93 BATON ROUGE, LA 456 668 265
94 ALLENTOWN/BETHLEHEM/EASTON, PA 403 756 34
95 COLUMBIA, SC 392 757 -49
96 NORFOLK/VIRGINIA BEACH/NEWPORT NEWS, VA 747 787 191
97 HONOLULU, HI 286 1,151 68
98 MCALLEN/EDINBURG/PHARR, TX 155 1,494 -35
99 GREENVILLE, SC 151 1,721 -66
100 RICHMOND, VA 213 2,319 -1

dick tracy 08-16-2007
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Bob, I have been saying the feds should have cut the interest rates for six months. You could see the writing on the wall and a lousy 1/4 point cut six months ago and another 1/4 cut last meeting would have bolster the economy and given some confidence. Now all those ARMs that are going up would be gowing down. Funny thing is if Feds cut the rates there will be a huge refinance and people will bail on the ARMs...problem is they may not qualify for the loans. We got a real catch 22 going on in the US housing markets. Prices are imploding some areas of AZ have seen 40-50% drop in values mostly outline areas. People bought with a long commute then fuel prices spiked interest rates increased and work slowed down, a tripple whammy. Now on to our business, no more markets to run too it's the whole US with only exception being Pacific NW but they are next and it's already started in the past month or two. Pump companies are falling like flies, reorganization and asking for relife from creditors is only way to survive, the crunch here is going past the one year mark and no recovery in site. Texas was six or eight months behind AZ, Florida hit in fall of last year.

I suspect the SE & SW will be the first ones to start recovery but it won't happen this year and the throws will follow through the US in any area that has not been hit yet. I expect virtually no sales in new concrete pumps.

All pump companies are working on negative debt to assets...Yes the big boys must raise prices or face closing the doors and being cut off from future funding. We might finally get out of the 70s prices...No raise in some 30 years coming to end. I suspect we see 30 to 40% increase in the price of pumping in the next two years.

Not like I wouldnt follow all they got to do is do it. If this round has not spanked every one in this biz then it's time to get out...We must mature as an industry.

 


Many 08-17-2007
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Ya know the real estate market is getting bruetly beat up.Reposessions at all time records.I am wondering how the automotive finance world is fairing?.